The CAIDA annual report summarizes CAIDA’s activities for 2022 in the areas of research, infrastructure, data collection and analysis. The executive summary is excerpted below:
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In November 2022, 85% MANRS members were conformant to Action #1 and Action #4.

 

The Mutually Agreed Norms on Routing Security (MANRS) initiative is an industry-led effort to improve Internet routing security. MANRS encourages participating networks to implement a series of routing security practices.  In our paper, Mind Your MANRS: Measuring the MANRS Routing Ecosystem, we at CAIDA (UC San Diego), in collaboration with Georgia Tech, and IIJ Research Lab, provided the first independent look into the MANRS ecosystem by using publicly available data to analyze the routing behavior of participant networks. MANRS membership has increased significantly in recent years, but our research goal was to get more clarity on the impact of the MANRS initiative on the state of overall Internet routing security.   In this post, we summarize how we characterized the growth of MANRS members, explain our process of analyzing ISP conformance with the MANRS practices we studied, compare RPKI ROA registration status between MANRS and non-MANRS members, and reflect on implications of our analysis for the future of MANRS. 

 

We first analyzed what types of networks have joined MANRS over time, and whether MANRS members are properly implementing the routing security practices (MANRS conformance).  The two practices (which MANRS calls actions) we focused on in our study are: 

1. Participating ISPs will register their IP prefixes in a trusted routing database (either Resource Public Key Infrastructure (RPKI) or one of the databases of the Internet Routing Registry (IRR).   This practice is “MANRS Action #4”.
2. Participating ISPs will use such information to prevent propagation of invalid routing information. This practice is “MANRS Action #1”.

 

Our paper analyzed the MANRS ecosystem in May 2022. Since MANRS is a growing community, for this post we have updated our analysis using data collected in November 2022 to capture a more recent view of the MANRS ecosystem. We have also published our analysis code here for interested readers to reproduce the analysis using the latest available data.

 

MANRS growth

We first downloaded a list of MANRS members. The Internet Society kindly provided us the dates when each MANRS participant joined the programs. We found that between 2015 and November 2022, 863 ASes joined MANRS. Over this 7-year period, an additional 12.1% of routed IPv4 address space was originated by MANRS ASes. Plotting growth by ASes and by address space (Figure 1) shows that most of these new ASes were based in the LACNIC region, but that those ASes originated little or no address space into BGP.   

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Figure 1 – MANRS participation grew between 2015 and 2022, but the picture looks quite different if measured by number of ASes vs. % of routed address space. 

MANRS Conformance 

We examined whether MANRS (ISP and CDN) members properly implemented MANRS Action #4 and #1 according to the MANRS requirements:

• To conform to Action #4, members must register at least 90% (100% for CDNs) IP prefixes in IRR or RPKI.
• To conform to Action #1, members must filter out customer BGP announcements that do not match IRR or RPKI records.

 

We downloaded BGP prefixes and their IRR/RPKI status from the Internet Health Report (IHR) maintained by IIJ Research Labs. We found that in November 2022, 893 (95.9%) of all 931 MANRS ASes conformed to MANRS Action #4 (prefix registration). Figure 2 shows that in November 2022, 3.7% of the address space originated by MANRS ASes was contained in prefixes that either were not registered or were incorrectly registered in IRR or RPKI. We also conducted case studies of non-conformant MANRS CDN members  and found that one large CDN was not conformant because one of their 7000+ prefixes was RPKI-invalid. Please refer to section 8.4 of the paper for more details. 

 

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Figure 2 – Most ASes participating in MANRS conformed with Action #4, and correspondingly, most of the address space those ASes originated into BGP was IRR or RPKI valid, i.e., had records that matched observed BGP announcements. 

 

To evaluate whether MANRS members filtered out customer BGP announcements that do not match IRR or RPKI records (Action #1), we downloaded BGP prefixes, their IRR and RPKI statuses, and their upstream ASes from the Internet Health Report. We then calculated the prevalence of IRR/RPKI Invalid prefixes propagated through each MANRS network. 

 

Figure 3 shows that in November 2022, 790 (84.9%) of 931 MANRS ASes conformed to the MANRS Action #1 . Figure 3 also shows that 141 (15.1%) MANRS ASes did not conform to Action #1. However, not all of the address space propagated by these ASes was incorrectly registered in RPKI or IRR.  In fact, those 141 ASes propagated 96.7% of the address space propagated by MANRS ASes, but only 1.5% of that total was incorrectly registered. In addition, we found that 25 out of 27 MANRS members that are large transit providers (i.e., had > 180 customer ASes) did not fully conform with MANRS Action #1, suggesting that conformance was hard to achieve for networks with complex routing relationships.

 

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Figure 3 – MANRS ASes that did not conform to MANRS Action #1 only propagated a small fraction of address space announced by MANRS ASes that was not IRR or RPKI Valid. (b) shows 95.2% of MANRS-propagated address space was IRR/RPKI Valid despite being propagated by Action #1 non-conformant members.

 

Are MANRS members more likely to register in RPKI? 

Our study found that, except for a few cases, MANRS organizations tended to conform with the two actions we studied. However, to estimate the impact of the MANRS initiative on the state of routing security, we compared the behavior of MANRS and non-MANRS ASes. 

 

We first compared these two subsets of ASes in terms of registration of RPKI ROAs of prefixes announced in BGP.  In November 2022, 60.1% of routed IPv4 address space originated by MANRS ASes was covered by RPKI ROAs, compared with only 38.8% of all routed IPv4 addresses covered by ROAs. Figure 5 shows that in November 2022, IPv4 address space originated by MANRS ASes was more likely to be registered in RPKI in all RIR regions except APNIC. In the APNIC region, we found significant RPKI registration by non-MANRS networks from JPNIC and TWNIC, possibly due to local RPKI outreach efforts.  Overall, this difference suggests a positive influence of MANRS members on the adoption of RPKI. 

 

Similarly, changing the view from routed address space to the originating ASes, we found that in November 2022, MANRS members were more likely to originate at least 80% RPKI Valid prefixes in BGP compared to their non-MANRS counterparts in all RIR regions (Figure 6).

 

Figure 5 – In November 2022, IPv4 address space originated by MANRS ASes was more likely to be registered in RPKI in all RIR regions except APNIC.

 

Figure 6 – In November 2022, MANRS ASes were more likely to originate RPKI Valid prefixes than non-MANRS ASes.

 

Future for MANRS

In November 2022, we found 71 MANRS ASes that registered their prefixes only in IRR but not RPKI. Registering only in an IRR database is less optimal than registering in RPKI, since some IRR databases may contain inaccurate records due to looser validation standards (See our paper IRR Hygiene in the RPKI Era). We recommend that in the future, MANRS  members register in RPKI in addition to IRR databases.  We also recommend that MANRS add a conformance checker to its existing observatory to further motivate its members to maintain good routing security practices. We have published our analysis code to facilitate such conformance checking. 

Figure 1: This picture shows a line of floating buoys that designate the path of the long-awaited SACS (South-Atlantic Cable System). This submarine cable now connects Angola to Brazil (Source: G Massala, https://www.menosfios.com/en/finally-cable-submarine-sacs-arrived-to-brazil/, Feb 2018.)

The network layer of the Internet routes packets regardless of the underlying communication media (Wifi, cellular telephony, satellites, or optical fiber). The underlying physical infrastructure of the Internet includes a mesh of submarine cables, generally shared by network operators who purchase capacity from the cable owners [2,11]. As of late 2020, over 400 submarine cables interconnect continents worldwide and constitute the oceanic backbone of the Internet. Although they carry more than 99% of international traffic, little academic research has occurred to isolate end-to-end performance changes induced by their launch.

In mid-September 2018, Angola Cables (AC, AS37468) activated the SACS cable, the first trans-Atlantic cable traversing the Southern hemisphere [1][A1]. SACS connects Angola in Africa to Brazil in South America. Most assume that the deployment of undersea cables between continents improves Internet performance between the two continents. In our paper, “Unintended consequences: Effects of submarine cable deployment on Internet routing”, we shed empirical light on this hypothesis, by investigating the operational impact of SACS on Internet routing. We presented our results at the Passive and Active Measurement Conference (PAM) 2020, where the work received the best paper award [11,7,8]. We summarize the contributions of our study, including our methodology, data collection and key findings.

[A1]  Note that in the same year, Camtel (CM, AS15964), the incumbent operator of Cameroon, and China Unicom (CH, AS9800) deployed the 5,900km South Atlantic Inter Link (SAIL), which links Fortaleza to Kribi (Cameroon) [17], but this cable was not yet lit as of March 2020.

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Congratulations to Amogh Dhamdhere, David Clark, Alexander Gamero-Garrido, Matthew Luckie, Ricky K.P. Mok, Gautam Akiwate, Kabir Gogia, Vaibhav Bajpai, Alex Snoeren, and kc claffy, for being awarded Best Paper at SIGCOMM 2018!

The abstract from the paper, “Inferring Persistent Interdomain Congestion“:

There is significant interest in the technical and policy communities regarding the extent,scope, and consumer harm of persistent interdomain congestion. We provide empirical grounding for discussions of interdomain congestion by developing a system and method to measure congestion on thousands of interdomain links without direct access to them. We implement a system based on the Time Series Latency Probes (TSLP) technique that identifies links with evidence of recurring congestion suggestive of an under-provisioned link. We deploy our system at 86 vantage points worldwide and show that congestion inferred using our lightweight TSLP method correlates with other metrics of interconnection performance impairment. We use our method to study interdomain links of eight large U.S. broadband access providers from March 2016 to December 2017, and validate our inferences against ground-truth traffic statistics from two of the providers. For the period of time over which we gathered measurements, we did not find evidence of widespread endemic congestion on interdomain links between access ISPs and directly connected transit and content providers, although some such links exhibited recurring congestion patterns. We describe limitations, open challenges, and a path toward the use of this method for large-scale third-party monitoring of the Internet interconnection ecosystem.

Read the full paper on the CAIDA website.